Order ready-to-submit essays. No Plagiarism Guarantee!
Note: All our papers are written from scratch by human writers to ensure authenticity and originality.
Read/review the following resources for this activity:
· Lecture Notes for Unit 5
· Rachel Boba Santos: Chapters 8-11
· Sample Series (Available in Course Documents)
Boba, Rachel. Crime analysis with crime mapping (3rd. ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA:
Sage, 2013. ISBN 1452202710
NEED HELP WRITING AN ESSAY
Tell us about your assignment and we will find the best writer for your project.
Get Help Now!introduction
Forecasting, or predicting next events, is a major part of tactical
crime analysis. In some ways, it’s the most important part: knowing
about a crime series isn’t very important unless we can do something
about it, and doing something about it requires some assessment of what
the offender will do in the future.
Forecasting is based on the idea
that human behavior is largely predictable—that we all have natural
patterns and schedules to our lives, whether we’re shopping in a grocery
store or robbing it.
In this week’s discussion, we’ll talk about some of those patterns and how we might be able to predict them.
Sometimes, our forecasts aren’t explicit. We don’t say, “I predict the
serial robber will strike again between October 8 and October 14,” or
“There’s a 74% chance that the next burglary will occur within a half
mile of the most recent incident.” Instead, by discussing the offender’s
preferred spatial and temporal patterns, we implicitly suggest what may
happen in the future.
Initial Post Instructions
Review
the tactical crime analysis product examples in this week’s course
resources. Choose one of them and answer the following questions (in
paragraphs; do not write your post like a Q&A):
1) Did the analyst make a forecast of future activity in the bulletin?
2) Is that forecast implicit or explicit?
3) Choose a role as a community member, patrol supervisor, or
detective. If you were given this bulletin, what would you do with the
information in it—particularly the forecast? How would you act on this
product?
4) Does the analyst leave out any important information that would help you answer Question 3?
